BITCON ALL-TIME HIGH!!! NEXT TARGET FOR BTC *ethereum next?*
Snipers.
You have to see what’s happening
to the Bitcoin price this Wednesday is we
have officially broke in you all time high
with our candle high at $67,000
on the dot,
and that I don’t believe is going to be
where Bitcoin is going to stop because
we are now in price discovery.
For the most part,
as longs as this doesn’t
show up to be a higher high,
we could start expecting further upside
for a Bitcoin if we were to just take
the market structural
base of this metrical triangle to just get
an estimated target for this breakout.
We are looking at just below
the 80,000 US dollar level.
So that is potentially going to be this
upside target as longs as 64,855
is able to hold, which is
the previous all time high.
And with this move to the upside,
the biggest thing that we’re going to be
monitoring the Snipers channel
is going to be the effects of Bitcoin
dominance moving above the 208 moving
average on the altcoin market
as well as on Ethereum.
Specifically, it’s interesting because
for those inside of our discord group,
Adams posted that if we got to a $9
trillion total market cap with 25% ETH
dominant,
that’s potentially a $2.3 trillion
evaluation for Ethereum,
which is currently just at about
500 billion right now.
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And when we look at what’s happening
to Ethereum so far, in effect,
to this breakout for Bitcoin to new all
time highs, we’re also
breaking out of this triangle.
And if we were to actually just take
an estimated target based on the base
of this symmetrical triangle,
we are looking at a potential target here
that Ethereum could go potentially
just below that $6,400 level.
So it looks like we have a bigger
upside target.
And that would make sense because
Ethereum is a more volatile asset.
And I think the first level
resistance is this area where there’s a
lot of pressure for Ethereum in the past.
We’ve seen this area reject Ethereum here
on September 6, and that’s going to be
right at the previous all time high at 43.
73.
And so if Bitcoin continues to move up,
I think that’s the expected upside
momentum that we would see with Ethereum.
And so when we really dive into what’s
happening to the old coins outside
of Bitcoin and Ethereum,
we’re going to start talking about this
weakness that we’re seeing below the 200
day moving average and what that could
mean because I think that one of the best
predictions we’ve had as of recently
on the Snipers channel was the Bitcoin
dominance double bottoming and moving up.
And we talked about two scenarios
for this to be justified to happen.
Number one is what happened in 2018
when we saw all coins hedge into Bitcoin
when the total market was coming down,
and that allowed Bitcoin
dominance to move up.
And that also followed the DXY
double bottoming as well,
and moving back to the upside.
But the other
reason Bitcoin dominance could be moving
up, and this is what we talked about
is that Bitcoin is reentering into a new
bullish cycle,
gets back into price discovery,
and for the most part it will move first
before other altcoins will follow,
because first Bitcoin needs to now
discover its price before seeing, let’s
say, a rejection at some sort of level.
And then we can start seeing how all coins
are reacting or how Bitcoin dominance is
at that point,
because we do know for sure if Bitcoin
dominance is continuing to be bullish
about the 20 week moving average
and most likely wants to come to 57.2%
dominance,
at least in the shorts term to medium
term, because the 200 week moving average
is where it likes to sit when it
starts to see some bullish momentum.
And DXY is also moving up, which is a very
correlated asset to Bitcoin dominance.
And DXY has been above the 20 week moving
average since July of this year,
and so with the DXY already
above for over six weeks.
At this point,
I think that Bitcoin dominance already
confirming that it wants to follow
the DXY as it usually does.
And paired along with the fact that we are
starting to break out,
tells me that Bitcoin dominance is going
to see a continuation to the upside,
so it’s going to be very cool to see
the way the market is going to respond
to this over the next few weeks.
I think that’s the main thing that we’re
going to cover here on the Snipers
channel, and I think there’s
certain ways that this could go.
I think maybe monitoring the Ethereum
to Bitcoin chart is probably
to be the most important
chart to monitor to get
the conditions of the altcoin market
and get really the first indicator of how
altcoins are going to be reacting
to this Bitcoin dominance.
Moving to the upside.
I think that if we watch the Ethereum to
Bitcoin chart
as a leading indicator for most
of the other altcoins because it is
the largest altcoin,
then that’s going to be the best way
for us to analyze the effects of Bitcoin
dominance on this market, which is,
I think something we should prioritize,
especially with that being one of the best
predictions we’ve had as
of recently on this channel.
So with this 20 week moving average
and the price action currently below it
for the theory of Bitcoin chart,
the real question is is this the start of
altcoin weakness for a while
and then eventually they’ll follow or
is this going to be a little bit
different where all coins start to move
with strength as Bitcoin is
maybe laddering itself
towards those higher price levels?
I think that that’s all going to be
unfolding over the next week to two weeks
for us to start following and identifying
the true trend there.
It’s going to probably
be really soon that we find out what
to watch now with these all coins.
I think that it’s a very interesting time.
I think that there have been some
odd things in the market.
I think one of the oddest things
that we’ve seen
as of recently is the decoupling effect
of the US dollar strength against Bitcoin
in 2018, when the US dollar moved about
20 week moving average and started to move
up, also bringing Bitcoin dominance up.
It really hurt the Bitcoin price.
But what we’re seeing now potentially
is Bitcoin, especially with the futures
ETF here now launched,
and I think they had the second
largest launch of an ETF ever, with over
a billion traded on the first day.
That could have potentially
decoupled Bitcoin’s US dollar value
away from the strength of the US dollar,
because with the upside we’re seeing
with the US dollar, unlike in 2018,
Bitcoin is actually moving up with it.
So I think that that’s a very
interesting puzzle piece that has
certainly shifted
from a pattern of the past.
And so
with us currently monitoring this
target here potentially just below
$80,000, the question is,
how are the smaller time frames looking?
Because everything morphs from the smaller
time frames into the larger timeframes?
Is there any sign of weakness?
I think that that’s an important question.
When we go into the six hour trip.
I think that’s the best part to look at,
because this is an institutional time
frame that we like to watch
on the snipers channel.
We’ve yet to see anything
crazy in terms of volume.
Last time we saw a lot
of volume was on September 7.
That was sell pressure.
So the question is that these price levels
above the previous all time high
with Bitcoin and price discovery,
are we going to be seeing a large
spike of buy pressure come
in to really drive price up
potentially towards that $80,000 level.
And then from there maybe we see some sort
of consolidation
for us and then eventually see
continuation with retail
and then potentially see a slowdown
maybe towards the 80% to $90,000 range.
I think that that’s on the table,
depending on how this next
piece of institutional volume comes in,
because we really want to know what
institutions are deciding to do right now.
On September 13, when we saw this massive
sell pressure come in at 53K, it did bring
Bitcoin’s price below 40,000 from 53,000.
So I think that if we see sell pressure
at these higher levels, that would
be an interesting puzzle piece.
But with Bitcoin now above its previous
all time high,
the worst case scenario is becoming
less and less severe with the floor moving
up, that’s the big positive
about what’s happening.
So with the six hour wait,
we’re waiting for some volume.
I’d like to see some volume
in terms of market structure.
I think that when we’re in price
discovery,
we obviously want to try to assume some
targets based on market structure.
So we have that level just below 80,000
based on the Smashbox triangle
that we recently broke out from.
But I think that as we start to move up
and as we start to see more consolidation
with Bitcoin’s price,
I think we can start really looking
at different market structure
at these higher levels.
So I think that over the next few days
into the next few weeks,
a lot will be changing
with this chart, because
Bitcoin is currently in this
very tight upward channel.
And the question is, as we start
to move up into these higher ranges,
how is the market structure
going to unfold there?
So I don’t think it’s necessary to go
into even smaller time frames just yet
below the three hour,
just because we are above
the previous all time high right now.
But on the three hour, we do have so
far some descending buy pressure.
So that’s something to note,
but we don’t have ascending so pressure
or really even descending so pressure.
There’s just not much sellers on the micro
three hour time frame, which is,
I think, why we’re not seeing much
of some crazy volume.
But I’d like to see something
on the six hour here really soon.
I think that’s going to be
very important to monitor.
And then, of course,
as we talked about with the theorem,
we want to start monitoring the theory of
Bitcoin chart more than anything, because
we are the critical point here.
If we can start moving above 62,500
Satoshi,
that could show a positive thing
for altcoins,
and that could assume the altcoins are
actually not going to see too much
weakness, maybe move to the side and
actually see some strength with Bitcoin
dominance moving up,
because I think once again that’s the most
important thing to
sort of watch right now.
What is the effects of that?
And with Bitcoin dominance,
as longs as we continue
this strong uptrend, I think that
not much is going to change there.
And then the charts that show the altcoins
outside of Bitcoin and Ethereum
will monitor.
But I think the theorem to Bitcoin is
going to be more important right now.
The DXY is pushing down, which is
a very positive thing for assets.
It shows that as much as we are above
all daily moving averages,
the DXY is still not necessarily
in its strongest form, and that we
could potentially see a slowdown.
It’s quite clear because we’re above
the 20 week moving average,
probably an uptrend here.
But for now,
the downside and the strength of the US
dollar is allowing the traditional markets
as well as cryptocurrency market
to do very well.
And so the S Amp P 500 right now
looks like it’s ready to see you all
time highs, or at least test this highs
that were on September 1 right around
the 45 50 level for the Eminen futures
contract, that’s a very positive thing.
So when we saw the SP 500 get
above its 20 week moving average,
and we said that now environment is
becoming a lot better for crypto.
And of course, now we break into new all
time highs, which is a very good thing.
It’s good to see the traditional
markets reacting well to the DXY.
It shows that there’s still
health in the market.
And then we look at Japan back
above all daily moving average.
That’s a positive thing.
Largest international market.
So I think that’s important.
The CSI 300 in China
looks like it’s forming asymmetrical
triangle to break back above
its daily moving averages.
It does follow
the Japanese market sometimes,
so that could be expected 100 also testing
highs very similar to SSP 500,
doing very well above all moving averages
and gold, I would say, is still stagnant,
but oil is showing a lot of strength.
So very interesting to see that.
And by the way, the gold to Bitcoin chart
did break down from its April 14 levels,
which is a very positive thing for Bitcoin
acting as a better storage of value
than gold, and potentially even seeing
more of Gold’s market cap
potentially shift into Bitcoin
because maybe people are now diversifying
their gold positions into Bitcoin as well
being that digital form of gold.
So that’s a very cool thing to see here.
And we will monitor this because that’s
how we predict the April 14 $64,000 coming
back above the 50 day moving average.
So we can start watching this
chart here a little bit more.
And with that being said,
thank you all for tuning
into the snipers channel today.
I appreciate each and every one of you.
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has been blowing up, and I
want to just say thank you so much
to everyone contributing to Crypto Chat
we have people posting every
single minute, even right now.
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And I’ll see you next time.
Snipersout.